Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 6.876167 7.595605 8.394475 9.354398 10.486068 11.789928 13.423809
2025-02-09 5.924413 6.920284 8.125617 9.722368 11.831065 14.596722 18.639067
2025-02-16 5.256944 6.356003 7.760737 9.746470 12.587414 16.696531 23.513806
2025-02-23 4.879615 6.066106 7.651980 10.021264 13.661521 19.435479 30.333371
2025-03-02 4.399597 5.567940 7.175730 9.668432 13.692666 20.518497 34.762596
2025-03-09 4.047408 5.201383 6.830043 9.439368 13.846116 21.810370 40.192619
2025-03-16 3.787661 4.936363 6.595857 9.338022 14.175214 23.491244 47.430548
2025-03-23 3.664152 4.852886 6.617260 9.641172 15.265233 27.005139 61.931683
2025-03-30 3.419851 4.569923 6.302887 9.335277 15.151627 27.898634 69.601415
2025-04-06 3.197691 4.304344 5.992715 8.998520 14.916038 28.444245 76.722049
2025-04-13 2.997450 4.059377 5.696411 8.653588 14.606592 28.728460 83.315107
2025-04-20 2.869992 3.918367 5.557139 8.576414 14.843520 30.506012 98.720294
2025-04-27 2.856082 3.964556 5.747732 9.172123 16.766722 38.129693 164.478533
2025-05-04 2.792781 3.930091 5.803976 9.532120 18.298941 45.872960 277.132918
2025-05-11 2.682676 3.810818 5.700689 9.555635 19.014373 51.430366 428.161856
2025-05-18 2.617888 3.760867 5.714256 9.822459 20.457045 61.320911 891.430746
2025-05-25 2.475901 3.572307 5.460643 9.479847 20.109279 62.959513 1236.616499
2025-06-01 2.361657 3.424463 5.271324 9.257324 20.068299 66.263484 2041.582617
2025-06-08 2.272445 3.314379 5.144079 9.158848 20.384567 71.982976 4853.595373
2025-06-15 2.237482 3.295359 5.186132 9.453368 22.036039 88.236563 631825.490910
2025-06-22 2.136613 3.155936 4.987431 9.156181 21.651290 90.335439 NaN
2025-06-29 2.039000 3.018106 4.784109 8.828857 21.099457 90.813803 NaN
2025-07-06 1.946476 2.885656 4.584479 8.493415 20.459675 90.176449 NaN